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Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?

12%Yes · chance

Yes 12¢No 88¢

Indicative prices

24h -1 pp

24h $5K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next President of Germany?

Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?

74%Yes · chance

Yes 74¢No 26¢

Indicative prices

24h +14 pp

24h $862.4 Vol. · Ends Jan 30, 2027

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Will Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer be the next President of Germany?

0.5%Yes · chance

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

Indicative prices

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election?

71%Yes · chance

Yes 71¢No 29¢

Indicative prices

24h +5 pp

24h $56.7 Vol. · Ends Nov 16, 2026

Spain General Election: Turnout

Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?

27.5%Yes · chance

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +8 pp

24h $336 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?

10%Yes · chance

Yes 10¢No 90¢

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

15%Yes · chance

Yes 15¢No 85¢

Indicative prices

24h $60 Vol. · Ends Apr 18, 2027

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Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

17%Yes · chance

Yes 17¢

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

18.5%Yes · chance

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $493.5 Vol. · Ends Apr 18, 2027

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

45.5%Yes · chance

Yes 45.5¢

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

3.8%Yes · chance

Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢

Indicative prices

24h -5.6 pp

24h $7.6K Vol. · Ends Apr 18, 2027

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Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

84.5%Yes · chance

Yes 84.5¢

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

92.5%Yes · chance

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $335.6 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

7.5%Yes · chance

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -1 pp

24h $776.1 Vol. · Ends Apr 1, 2028

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Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

5.9%Yes · chance

Yes 5.9¢No 94.1¢

Indicative prices

Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?

6.2%Yes · chance

Yes 6.2¢No 93.9¢

Indicative prices

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Ilhan Omar arrested by...?

Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?

11.5%Yes · chance

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.5 pp

24h $3.4K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?

21%Yes · chance

Yes 21¢No 79¢

Indicative prices

24h +2 pp

24h $251.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?

Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?

Will Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer be the next President of Germany?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election?

Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?

Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?

Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?

Explore markets

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?

Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?

Will Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer be the next President of Germany?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election?

Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?

Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?

Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?

Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?

Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Christine Lagarde win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?