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Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

11%Yes · chance

Yes 11¢No 89¢

Indicative prices

24h -1 pp

24h $1K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

51.5%Yes · chance

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +4.5 pp

24h $1K Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

8.5%Yes · chance

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +1 pp

24h $983.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Nigerian House of Representatives Election Winner

Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?

6.5%Yes · chance

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -2 pp

24h $980.7 Vol. · Ends Jan 17, 2027

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Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?

73%Yes · chance

Next Israeli government a minority government?

42.5%Yes · chance

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -12.5 pp

24h $980.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?

94.5%Yes · chance

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +37 pp

24h $732.5 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be 650,000 or more?

0.3%Yes · chance

Yes 0.3¢

Quito Mayoral Election Winner

Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?

61.5%Yes · chance

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +14.5 pp

24h $706.7 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will Jorge Yunda win the next Quito mayoral election?

21%Yes · chance

Yes 21¢No 79¢

Indicative prices

24h +8 pp

Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton By-Election Winner

Will Luc Brodeur-Jourdain win the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election?

4.5%Yes · chance

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -13 pp

24h $546 Vol. · Ends Dec 7, 2026

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Will Caroline Émond win the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election?

65.5%Yes · chance

Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

18.6%Yes · chance

Yes 18.6¢No 81.4¢

Indicative prices

24h $493.5 Vol. · Ends Apr 18, 2027

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

45%Yes · chance

Yes 45¢

LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?

35.6%Yes · chance

Yes 35.6¢No 64.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +25.4 pp

24h $415.2 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?

<0.1%Yes · chance

Yes 0.1¢No 100¢

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?

4%Yes · chance

Yes 4¢No 96.1¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.5 pp

24h $408.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 2, 2027

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Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?

2.5%Yes · chance

Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢

Indicative prices

24h -4.6 pp

VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 9%-12%?

45.5%Yes · chance

Yes 45.5¢No 54.6¢

Indicative prices

24h $231.1 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 3%-6%?

2.1%Yes · chance

Yes 2.1¢

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Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?

Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?

Next Israeli government a minority government?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be 650,000 or more?

Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?

Will Jorge Yunda win the next Quito mayoral election?

Will Luc Brodeur-Jourdain win the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election?

Will Caroline Émond win the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election?

Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?

Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 9%-12%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 3%-6%?

Explore markets

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?

Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?

Next Israeli government a minority government?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be 650,000 or more?

Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?

Will Jorge Yunda win the next Quito mayoral election?

Will Luc Brodeur-Jourdain win the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election?

Will Caroline Émond win the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election?

Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?

Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 9%-12%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 3%-6%?

Will the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 500,000 and 550,000?

Will Harold Burbano win the next Quito mayoral election?

Will Mathieu Boisvert win the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election?

Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?

Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 12%-15%?