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Panama Canal effectively closed by...?

Panama Canal effectively closed by October 31?

0.7%Yes · chance

Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢

Indicative prices

End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Panama Canal effectively closed by November 30?

2.8%Yes · chance

Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢

Indicative prices

Ends Dec 1, 2026

Panama Canal effectively closed by December 31?

8%Yes · chance

Yes 8¢No 92¢

Indicative prices

24h -7.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

10.5%Yes · chance

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $22.2 Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

US imports Russian diesel by...?

US imports Russian diesel by January 31?

18%Yes · chance

Yes 18¢No 82¢

Indicative prices

24h +1 pp

24h $39.7K Vol. · Ends Feb 1, 2027

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US imports Russian diesel by November 15?

7.5%Yes · chance

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $13.2K Vol. · Ends Nov 16, 2026

Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?

8.5%Yes · chance

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +0.5 pp

24h $321.9 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Turkish troops enter Yemen by...?

Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

Indicative prices

24h +1 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027?

80%Yes · chance

Yes 80¢No 20¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jul 1, 2027

ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?

17.5%Yes · chance

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

Indicative prices

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?

Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?

15.5%Yes · chance

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

Indicative prices

Ends Apr 1, 2027

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Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?

5%Yes · chance

Yes 5¢No 95¢

Indicative prices

Ends Jan 1, 2027

EU lifts ban on Russian diesel imports by...?

Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?

4.4%Yes · chance

Yes 4.4¢No 95.6¢

Indicative prices

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Zacatecas Congress Election Winner

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?

78.5%Yes · chance

Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.5 pp

Ends Jun 7, 2027

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Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?

6.5%Yes · chance

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

Yucatán Congress Election Winner

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?

17.5%Yes · chance

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -4 pp

24h $33.8 Vol. · Ends Jun 7, 2027

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Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?

73.5%Yes · chance

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

Veracruz Congress Election Winner

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?

79%Yes · chance

Yes 79¢No 21¢

Indicative prices

Ends Jun 7, 2027

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Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

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Panama Canal effectively closed by October 31?

Panama Canal effectively closed by November 30?

Panama Canal effectively closed by December 31?

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

US imports Russian diesel by January 31?

US imports Russian diesel by November 15?

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?

Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?

Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027?

ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?

Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?

Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?

Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?

Explore markets

Panama Canal effectively closed by October 31?

Panama Canal effectively closed by November 30?

Panama Canal effectively closed by December 31?

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

US imports Russian diesel by January 31?

US imports Russian diesel by November 15?

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?

Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?

Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027?

ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?

Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?

Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?

Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?

US imports Russian diesel by November 30?

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?

Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?

Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?