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Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

8.5%Yes · chance

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.5 pp

24h $842 Vol. · Ends Aug 1, 2027

Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?

6%Yes · chance

Yes 6¢No 94¢

Indicative prices

24h -9 pp

24h $819 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?

1.8%Yes · chance

Yes 1.8¢No 98.3¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.5 pp

24h $782 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?

3.2%Yes · chance

Yes 3.2¢No 96.8¢

Indicative prices

24h $10.2 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?

2.2%Yes · chance

Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢

Indicative prices

24h -4.9 pp

24h $625 Vol. · Ends Mar 31, 2027

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Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?

3.5%Yes · chance

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

Closest Governor's Race?

Will Kansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

91.5%Yes · chance

Yes 91.5¢No 8.6¢

Indicative prices

24h +3.8 pp

24h $526 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Tennessee be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

7.5%Yes · chance

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -5.3 pp

24h $193 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

Spain General Election: PSOE # of seats?

Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

18%Yes · chance

Yes 18¢No 82¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.5 pp

24h $519.3 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will PSOE win 96-101 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

10.4%Yes · chance

Yes 10.4¢No 89.6¢

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

0.8%Yes · chance

Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢

Indicative prices

24h -1.3 pp

24h $510.7 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

84.6%Yes · chance

Yes 84.6¢

Victoria Legislative Council Election Winner

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

8.6%Yes · chance

Yes 8.6¢No 91.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.2 pp

24h $500.4 Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026

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Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

83.5%Yes · chance

Yes 83.5¢

Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?

3.1%Yes · chance

Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.2 pp

24h $492.5 Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026

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Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?

92%Yes · chance

Yes 92¢No 8¢

North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?

51.5%Yes · chance

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -1 pp

24h $343.9 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000?

4.1%Yes · chance

Yes 4.1¢

Maduro Prison Time?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?

54.5%Yes · chance

Yes 54.5¢No 45.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -5 pp

24h $321.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

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Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?

5.3%Yes · chance

Yes 5.3¢No 94.8¢

Indicative prices

How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will KMT win?

Will the KMT win 8 Taiwanese head of local government races?

27.5%Yes · chance

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +14.5 pp

24h $198.4 Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026

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Will the KMT win 12 Taiwanese head of local government races?

19%Yes · chance

Yes 19¢No 81¢

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Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?

Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?

Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?

Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?

Will Kansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Will Tennessee be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win 96-101 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?

Will the KMT win 8 Taiwanese head of local government races?

Will the KMT win 12 Taiwanese head of local government races?

Explore markets

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?

Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?

Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?

Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?

Will Kansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Will Tennessee be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win 96-101 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?

Will the KMT win 8 Taiwanese head of local government races?

Will the KMT win 12 Taiwanese head of local government races?

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?

Will Nebraska be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Will PSOE win 120 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,500,000 and 3,700,000?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

Will the KMT win 11 Taiwanese head of local government races?