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Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?

Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?

94.1%Yes · chance

Yes 94.1¢No 5.9¢

Indicative prices

24h $786.9 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?

2.7%Yes · chance

Yes 2.7¢No 97.4¢

Indicative prices

End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

Will Hans-Inge Smetana be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?

0.1%Yes · chance

Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?

19.5%Yes · chance

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -2 pp

24h $766.2 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

1.8%Yes · chance

Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢

Indicative prices

24h -1.2 pp

24h $759.9 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?

97.9%Yes · chance

Yes 97.9¢No 2.2¢

Indicative prices

24h +2 pp

24h $743.9 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

10.4%Yes · chance

Yes 10.4¢No 89.6¢

Indicative prices

24h $656 Vol. · Ends Mar 17, 2027

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Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

59.5%Yes · chance

Yes 59.5¢

NC-10 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-10 House seat?

0.2%Yes · chance

Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢

Indicative prices

24h -22.9 pp

24h $594.7 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party win the NC-10 House seat?

99.9%Yes · chance

Yes 99.9¢No 0.2¢

Indicative prices

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Will Iran join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?

1.8%Yes · chance

Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢

Indicative prices

24h -1.6 pp

24h $472.2 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?

6.9%Yes · chance

Yes 6.9¢No 93.2¢

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

90.5%Yes · chance

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +0.5 pp

24h $349.3 Vol. · Ends Feb 1, 2027

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Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?

2.2%Yes · chance

Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢

MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 0%-5%?

0.3%Yes · chance

Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢

Indicative prices

24h -8.8 pp

24h $262.6 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election?

1.8%Yes · chance

Yes 1.8¢

Spain General Election: Elected Senate Winner

Will PSOE–FA win the most seats in the Senate in the 2026 Spanish general election?

4.5%Yes · chance

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -3 pp

24h $245.3 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will PP win the most seats in the Senate in the 2026 Spanish general election?

94.5%Yes · chance

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more?

7.4%Yes · chance

Yes 7.4¢No 92.6¢

Indicative prices

24h +5.5 pp

24h $230 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?

0.3%Yes · chance

Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

7.2%Yes · chance

Yes 7.2¢No 92.8¢

Indicative prices

24h $175 Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

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Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

5%Yes · chance

Yes 5¢No 95.1¢

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Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?

Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?

Will Hans-Inge Smetana be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-10 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the NC-10 House seat?

Will Iran join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?

Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election?

Will PSOE–FA win the most seats in the Senate in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PP win the most seats in the Senate in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?

Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

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Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?

Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?

Will Hans-Inge Smetana be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-10 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the NC-10 House seat?

Will Iran join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?

Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election?

Will PSOE–FA win the most seats in the Senate in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PP win the most seats in the Senate in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?

Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate at the March meeting?

Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?

Will Vox win the most seats in the Senate in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?

Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?