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California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

98.8%Yes · chance

Yes 98.8¢No 1.2¢

Indicative prices

24h $639.7 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

0.7%Yes · chance

Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢

Indicative prices

End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

Will Josh Fryday win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

1.3%Yes · chance

Yes 1.3¢No 98.8¢

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

3.5%Yes · chance

Yes 3.5¢No 96.6¢

Indicative prices

24h -1.6 pp

24h $621.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by June 30, 2027?

14%Yes · chance

Yes 14¢No 86¢

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?

2.8%Yes · chance

Yes 2.8¢No 97.3¢

Indicative prices

24h $621 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?

77%Yes · chance

Yes 77¢No 23¢

Indicative prices

24h +54.5 pp

24h $590 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000?

21.7%Yes · chance

Yes 21.7¢

Which party will win older women in the midterms?

Will Republicans win older women in the midterms?

0.1%Yes · chance

Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢

Indicative prices

24h $414 Vol. · Ends Nov 7, 2026

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Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?

>99.9%Yes · chance

Yes 100¢No 0.1¢

Indicative prices

Dem sweep & Chinese AI model #1 by end of 2027?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

76.3%Yes · chance

Yes 76.3¢No 23.8¢

Indicative prices

24h -11 pp

24h $374.5 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

24.2%Yes · chance

Yes 24.2¢No 75.8¢

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Colorado?

Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

95%Yes · chance

Yes 95¢No 5¢

Indicative prices

24h +3.2 pp

24h $318 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

15.5%Yes · chance

Yes 15.5¢

Alabama Governor Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?

41.7%Yes · chance

Yes 41.7¢No 58.3¢

Indicative prices

24h +36.7 pp

24h $297 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?

56.7%Yes · chance

Yes 56.7¢

Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election?

0.4%Yes · chance

Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢

Indicative prices

24h $201 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 10%-15%?

0.5%Yes · chance

Yes 0.5¢

Maduro Prison Time?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

27.5%Yes · chance

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.5 pp

24h $169.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

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Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?

5.3%Yes · chance

Yes 5.3¢No 94.8¢

NY-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 55%-60%?

2.8%Yes · chance

Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢

Indicative prices

24h $144 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 65%-70%?

84.5%Yes · chance

Yes 84.5¢

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?

10%Yes · chance

Yes 10¢No 90¢

Indicative prices

24h -3 pp

24h $142.3 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 1%?

2.4%Yes · chance

Yes 2.4¢No 97.6¢

Indicative prices

24h -28.7 pp

24h $133.3 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

Will Josh Fryday win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by June 30, 2027?

US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000?

Will Republicans win older women in the midterms?

Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 10%-15%?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 55%-60%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 65%-70%?

Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?

Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 1%?

Explore markets

Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

Will Josh Fryday win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by June 30, 2027?

US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000?

Will Republicans win older women in the midterms?

Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 10%-15%?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 55%-60%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 65%-70%?

Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?

Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 1%?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by December 31, 2027?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?

Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 0%-10%?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 70%-75%?

Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 1%?