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Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?

18%Yes · chance

Yes 18¢No 82¢

Indicative prices

24h -3.5 pp

24h $524 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 3%-6%?

50.3%Yes · chance

Yes 50.3¢No 49.7¢

Indicative prices

24h +9.8 pp

24h $510.6 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?

0.4%Yes · chance

Yes 0.4¢

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

11%Yes · chance

Yes 11¢No 89¢

Indicative prices

24h +0.5 pp

24h $509.9 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

1.8%Yes · chance

Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢

Indicative prices

24h $505.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 10%-15%?

1.5%Yes · chance

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $504 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 20%-25%?

86%Yes · chance

Yes 86¢

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

10.5%Yes · chance

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -8.5 pp

24h $502.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 2, 2027

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

9%Yes · chance

Yes 9¢No 91¢

Indicative prices

24h $493.7 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

CO-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 0%-3%?

77%Yes · chance

Yes 77¢No 23.1¢

Indicative prices

24h +29.2 pp

24h $486.7 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 3%-6%?

1.9%Yes · chance

Yes 1.9¢

Spain General Election: Huelva Winner

Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

70.5%Yes · chance

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -4 pp

24h $399.3 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will PSOE win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

27.5%Yes · chance

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

Spain General Election: Turnout

Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?

28.5%Yes · chance

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +9 pp

24h $336 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?

10%Yes · chance

Yes 10¢No 90¢

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Colorado?

Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

72.8%Yes · chance

Yes 72.8¢No 27.3¢

Indicative prices

24h -12 pp

24h $262.3 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

12%Yes · chance

Yes 12¢

NY-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?

1.5%Yes · chance

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $197.9 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?

5%Yes · chance

Yes 5¢

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Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 3%-6%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 10%-15%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 20%-25%?

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 0%-3%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 3%-6%?

Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?

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Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 3%-6%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 10%-15%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 20%-25%?

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 0%-3%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 3%-6%?

Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 15%-20%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 3%-6%?

Will Vox win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?