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North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
Spain General Election Winner
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
89.5%Yes · chance24h -3 pp
Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
62.7%Yes · chance24h -2.8 pp
Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?
24h +1 pp
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?
21%Yes · chanceSaudi troops enter Sanaa by...?
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?
9.5%Yes · chanceIEA asks Germany to release oil stocks by...?
Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?
12.5%Yes · chanceIEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?
Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?
19.5%Yes · chance24h -6 pp
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
22.5%Yes · chance24h +3 pp
Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner
Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
60%Yes · chance24h -2.5 pp