Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

3.8%Yes · chance

$1.5M Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

15.5%Yes · chance

$1.5M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

1.8%Yes · chance

$27.5M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

33.5%Yes · chance

$193.9K Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?

1.2%Yes · chance

$167K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?

26.5%Yes · chance

$115.7K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

2.9%Yes · chance

$386.3K Vol. · Ends Oct 28, 2026

Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?

73.5%Yes · chance

$83.9K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

97.1%Yes · chance

$331.4K Vol. · Ends Oct 28, 2026

Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?

99.2%Yes · chance

$128.3K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

34%Yes · chance

$211K Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?

3.9%Yes · chance

$19.7K Vol. · Ends Nov 10, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?

1.4%Yes · chance

$17.4K Vol. · Ends Nov 10, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?

0.1%Yes · chance

$15.8K Vol. · Ends Nov 10, 2026

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

8.5%Yes · chance

$839.2K Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Will Benny Gantz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

<0.1%Yes · chance

$4.7K Vol. · Ends Oct 28, 2026

Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027?

5.5%Yes · chance

$1.3K Vol. · Ends Apr 1, 2027