Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
4.5%Yes · chance24h -2 pp
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Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
42%Yes · chance24h +5.5 pp
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
25%Yes · chance24h -11.5 pp
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
16%Yes · chance24h -14.5 pp
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
25.5%Yes · chance24h +1 pp