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Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

11.5%Yes · chance

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -5.5 pp

24h $460.4 Vol. · Ends Jan 2, 2027

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

2.2%Yes · chance

Yes 2.2¢No 97.8¢

Indicative prices

24h $460 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?

1.5%Yes · chance

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +0.8 pp

24h $424 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?

98.3%Yes · chance

Yes 98.3¢

Spain General Election: Madrid 2nd Place

Will PSOE win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

68.5%Yes · chance

Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +28.5 pp

24h $416.6 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will PP win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

18.3%Yes · chance

Yes 18.3¢No 81.8¢

TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 0%-5%?

96.5%Yes · chance

Yes 96.5¢No 3.6¢

Indicative prices

24h +50.5 pp

24h $374.3 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election?

1.6%Yes · chance

Yes 1.6¢

Dem sweep & Chinese AI model #1 by end of 2027?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

46.6%Yes · chance

Yes 46.6¢No 53.4¢

Indicative prices

24h -40.7 pp

24h $297.8 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

52.2%Yes · chance

Yes 52.2¢No 47.8¢

Victoria Legislative Council Election Winner

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

14%Yes · chance

Yes 14¢No 86.1¢

Indicative prices

24h -3.5 pp

24h $262.9 Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026

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Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

81%Yes · chance

Yes 81¢

Spain General Election: Toledo Winner

Will PP win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?

83%Yes · chance

Yes 83¢No 17¢

Indicative prices

24h +6 pp

24h $231.3 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will Vox win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?

7.5%Yes · chance

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

Spain General Election: Córdoba Winner

Will PSOE win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

Indicative prices

24h +1 pp

24h $120 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

89.5%Yes · chance

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 6%-9%?

94.6%Yes · chance

Yes 94.6¢No 5.4¢

Indicative prices

24h +4.6 pp

24h $110 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 12% or more?

2.4%Yes · chance

Yes 2.4¢

Colorado Governor Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?

51.2%Yes · chance

Yes 51.2¢No 48.8¢

Indicative prices

24h -1.3 pp

24h $103.1 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?

2.2%Yes · chance

Yes 2.2¢

WV-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 30%-35%?

7.5%Yes · chance

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -1 pp

24h $81.2 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 15%-20%?

50.4%Yes · chance

Yes 50.4¢

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Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?

Will PSOE win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PP win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Will PP win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Vox win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 6%-9%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 12% or more?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 15%-20%?

Explore markets

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?

Will PSOE win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PP win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Will PP win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Vox win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 6%-9%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 12% or more?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 15%-20%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?

Will Vox win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 5%-10%?

Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Will Podemos win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Vox win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 0%-3%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 5%-15%?