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Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

8.5%Yes · chance

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +1 pp

24h $430.1 Vol. · Ends Aug 1, 2027

NC-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?

97.9%Yes · chance

Yes 97.9¢No 2.1¢

Indicative prices

24h +44.2 pp

24h $425 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 10%-15%?

0.5%Yes · chance

Yes 0.5¢

TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?

3.4%Yes · chance

Yes 3.4¢No 96.7¢

Indicative prices

24h $424.1 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%?

0.8%Yes · chance

Yes 0.8¢

Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?

Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?

22%Yes · chance

Yes 22¢No 78¢

Indicative prices

24h -4.5 pp

24h $423 Vol. · Ends Mar 31, 2027

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Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?

8.5%Yes · chance

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

55.5%Yes · chance

Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.5 pp

24h $421.6 Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Spain General Election: Madrid 2nd Place

Will PSOE win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

68.5%Yes · chance

Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +15.5 pp

24h $415.8 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will PP win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

18.2%Yes · chance

Yes 18.2¢No 81.8¢

Dem sweep & Chinese AI model #1 by end of 2027?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

62.3%Yes · chance

Yes 62.3¢No 37.7¢

Indicative prices

24h -25 pp

24h $288.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

38.3%Yes · chance

Yes 38.3¢No 61.8¢

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?

Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

8%Yes · chance

Yes 8¢No 92¢

Indicative prices

24h -20.5 pp

24h $280 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

83.7%Yes · chance

Yes 83.7¢

Who will Trump publicly praise by November 30?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by November 30, 2026?

31%Yes · chance

Yes 31¢No 69¢

Indicative prices

24h -10 pp

24h $260.3 Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

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Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by November 30, 2026?

15%Yes · chance

Yes 15¢No 85¢

AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 0%-5%?

7.4%Yes · chance

Yes 7.4¢No 92.6¢

Indicative prices

24h -38 pp

24h $207.5 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 5% or more?

41.5%Yes · chance

Yes 41.5¢

Spain General Election: Córdoba Winner

Will PSOE win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.5 pp

24h $120 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

89%Yes · chance

Yes 89¢No 11¢

WV-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 30%-35%?

7.5%Yes · chance

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -1 pp

24h $81.2 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 15%-20%?

50.4%Yes · chance

Yes 50.4¢

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Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 10%-15%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%?

Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?

Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will PSOE win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PP win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by November 30, 2026?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by November 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 5% or more?

Will PSOE win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 15%-20%?

Explore markets

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 10%-15%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%?

Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?

Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will PSOE win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PP win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?

Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by November 30, 2026?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by November 30, 2026?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 5% or more?

Will PSOE win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 15%-20%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 15%-20%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 45%-50%?

Will Vox win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by November 30, 2026?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 0%-5%?

Will Vox win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 5%-15%?