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Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

1.1%Yes · chance

Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢

Indicative prices

24h $379.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Trump declares a national emergency by...?

Trump declares a national emergency by December 31, 2026?

14%Yes · chance

Yes 14¢No 86¢

Indicative prices

24h -4.5 pp

24h $378.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?

6%Yes · chance

Yes 6¢No 94¢

Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?

8.7%Yes · chance

Yes 8.7¢No 91.3¢

Indicative prices

24h +4.8 pp

24h $355.5 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

California Governor Election: Turnout

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,500,000 and 14,000,000?

27%Yes · chance

Yes 27¢No 73¢

Indicative prices

24h +8.6 pp

24h $351.6 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,500,000 and 12,000,000?

3.8%Yes · chance

Yes 3.8¢

How many Knesset members will vote for the new Israeli government?

Will no Knesset vote of confidence in a new government occur by February 28?

20%Yes · chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

Indicative prices

24h -12.5 pp

24h $335.6 Vol. · Ends Mar 1, 2027

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Will between 48 and 50 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner

Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?

34.5%Yes · chance

Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -3.5 pp

24h $285 Vol. · Ends Nov 10, 2026

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Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?

65%Yes · chance

Yes 65¢No 35¢

Who will Trump publicly praise by November 30?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by November 30, 2026?

31%Yes · chance

Yes 31¢No 69¢

Indicative prices

24h -10 pp

24h $240.3 Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

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Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by November 30, 2026?

16%Yes · chance

Yes 16¢No 84¢

Iowa Senate Election: Turnout

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000?

0.5%Yes · chance

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $234.7 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000?

74%Yes · chance

Yes 74¢

Vermont Governor Election: Turnout

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?

93.5%Yes · chance

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +26 pp

24h $224.2 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?

2.6%Yes · chance

Yes 2.6¢

NY-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?

1.5%Yes · chance

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $197.9 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?

4.1%Yes · chance

Yes 4.1¢

GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 0%-5%?

0.8%Yes · chance

Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢

Indicative prices

24h $135 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?

96.6%Yes · chance

Yes 96.6¢

What will Trump say this week? (November 2 - November 8)

Will Trump say "Brazil" this week?

47%Yes · chance

Yes 47¢No 53¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.5 pp

24h $100.5 Vol. · Ends Nov 9, 2026

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Will Trump say "Christmas" this week?

25.5%Yes · chance

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -1 pp

24h $10.4 Vol. · Ends Nov 9, 2026

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Explore markets

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Trump declares a national emergency by December 31, 2026?

Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?

Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,500,000 and 14,000,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,500,000 and 12,000,000?

Will no Knesset vote of confidence in a new government occur by February 28?

Will between 48 and 50 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?

Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by November 30, 2026?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by November 30, 2026?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?

Will Trump say "Brazil" this week?

Will Trump say "Christmas" this week?

Explore markets

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Trump declares a national emergency by December 31, 2026?

Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?

Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,500,000 and 14,000,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,500,000 and 12,000,000?

Will no Knesset vote of confidence in a new government occur by February 28?

Will between 48 and 50 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?

Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by November 30, 2026?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by November 30, 2026?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?

Will Trump say "Brazil" this week?

Will Trump say "Christmas" this week?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 14,000,000 and 14,500,000?

Will between 63 and 65 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by November 30, 2026?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,250,000 and 1,300,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be 350,000 or more?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?

Will Trump say "Rigged Election" this week?