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IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 40%-45%?

28.1%Yes · chance

Yes 28.1¢No 72¢

Indicative prices

24h -6.2 pp

24h $50.9 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 45%-50%?

43.1%Yes · chance

Yes 43.1¢No 57¢

Indicative prices

24h -1.5 pp

24h $0.4 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 35%-40%?

33.2%Yes · chance

Yes 33.2¢

Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

Will the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

67.8%Yes · chance

Yes 67.8¢No 32.2¢

Indicative prices

24h -8.9 pp

24h $50 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

3.3%Yes · chance

Yes 3.3¢

Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

92.5%Yes · chance

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.5 pp

24h $50 Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026

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Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

2.9%Yes · chance

Yes 2.9¢No 97.1¢

Delaware Senate Election: Turnout

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 325,000 and 350,000?

0.6%Yes · chance

Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢

Indicative prices

24h -32.1 pp

24h $50 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 375,000 and 400,000?

93.3%Yes · chance

Yes 93.3¢

Spain General Election: Balearic Islands Winner

Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?

84.5%Yes · chance

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.5 pp

24h $50 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will PSOE win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?

10.5%Yes · chance

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

Nayarit Congress Election Winner

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?

9.5%Yes · chance

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.5 pp

24h $50 Vol. · Ends Jun 7, 2027

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Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?

84.5%Yes · chance

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?

23.5%Yes · chance

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +2 pp

24h $50 Vol. · Ends Mar 28, 2027

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Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?

52%Yes · chance

Yes 52¢No 48¢

AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 15%-20%?

4.5%Yes · chance

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +3.7 pp

24h $45.3 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%?

1.1%Yes · chance

Yes 1.1¢

FL-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election?

98%Yes · chance

Yes 98¢No 2.1¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.8 pp

24h $45.2 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 0%-5%?

0.9%Yes · chance

Yes 0.9¢

IN-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 30%-35%?

1.2%Yes · chance

Yes 1.2¢No 98.8¢

Indicative prices

24h +0.9 pp

24h $39.6 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 0%-10%?

48.7%Yes · chance

Yes 48.7¢

MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 25%-30%?

96.4%Yes · chance

Yes 96.4¢No 3.7¢

Indicative prices

24h +47.3 pp

24h $28.7 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 35%-40%?

1.2%Yes · chance

Yes 1.2¢

MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 12% or more?

4.1%Yes · chance

Yes 4.1¢No 96¢

Indicative prices

24h $20 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 9%-12%?

2.1%Yes · chance

Yes 2.1¢

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 40%-45%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 45%-50%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 35%-40%?

Will the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 325,000 and 350,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 375,000 and 400,000?

Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?

Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?

Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 15%-20%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 0%-10%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 25%-30%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 35%-40%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 12% or more?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 9%-12%?

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 40%-45%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 45%-50%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 35%-40%?

Will the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 325,000 and 350,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 375,000 and 400,000?

Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?

Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?

Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 15%-20%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 0%-10%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 25%-30%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 35%-40%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 12% or more?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 9%-12%?

Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 350,000 and 375,000?

Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?

Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 30% or more?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 20%-25%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?