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2028 Presidential Election: Maine Winner

Will the Democrats win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election?

70.5%Yes · chance

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -6 pp

24h $351.3 Vol. · Ends Nov 8, 2028

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Will the Republicans win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election?

16%Yes · chance

Yes 16¢No 84¢

Indicative prices

24h +5 pp

Ends Nov 8, 2028

CISA issues emergency directive by...?

CISA emergency directive issued by December 31, 2026?

30.5%Yes · chance

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.5 pp

24h $348 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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CISA emergency directive issued by March 31, 2027?

64%Yes · chance

Yes 64¢No 36¢

Indicative prices

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

1.5%Yes · chance

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $346.7 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

44%Yes · chance

Yes 44¢No 56¢

Indicative prices

24h -4 pp

24h $344.8 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

66.5%Yes · chance

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $342.1 Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026

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Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

5.2%Yes · chance

Yes 5.2¢No 94.8¢

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

73%Yes · chance

Yes 73¢No 27¢

Indicative prices

24h -5.5 pp

24h $338.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Russia military action against EU country by...?

Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?

21%Yes · chance

Yes 21¢No 79¢

Indicative prices

24h +0.5 pp

24h $332.8 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

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Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?

5.5%Yes · chance

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

NATO article 5 before 2027?

3.8%Yes · chance

Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢

Indicative prices

24h -1.2 pp

24h $329.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Spain General Election: Santa Cruz de Tenerife Winner

Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?

61%Yes · chance

Yes 61¢No 39¢

Indicative prices

24h +2 pp

24h $269.1 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will PSOE win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?

37.5%Yes · chance

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

Gambia Presidential Election Winner

Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?

71.5%Yes · chance

Yes 71.5¢No 28.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.5 pp

24h $267.6 Vol. · Ends Dec 5, 2026

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Will Ousainou Darboe win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?

22.5%Yes · chance

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election?

2.4%Yes · chance

Yes 2.4¢No 97.6¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.2 pp

24h $230.9 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 15%-20%?

59.5%Yes · chance

Yes 59.5¢

AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 25%-30%?

96.5%Yes · chance

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +42.7 pp

24h $220.9 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 30%-35%?

0.8%Yes · chance

Yes 0.8¢

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Will the Democrats win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election?

Will the Republicans win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election?

CISA emergency directive issued by December 31, 2026?

CISA emergency directive issued by March 31, 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?

Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?

Will Ousainou Darboe win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 15%-20%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 25%-30%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 30%-35%?

Explore markets

Will the Democrats win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election?

Will the Republicans win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election?

CISA emergency directive issued by December 31, 2026?

CISA emergency directive issued by March 31, 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?

Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?

Will Ousainou Darboe win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 15%-20%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 25%-30%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 30%-35%?

Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

Will CCa win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Talib Ahmed Bensouda win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 10%-15%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 35%-40%?