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Elon Musk meets with Putin by...?

Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?

6.1%Yes · chance

Yes 6.1¢No 94¢

Indicative prices

24h -4.1 pp

24h $315.5 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?

16%Yes · chance

Yes 16¢No 84¢

Indicative prices

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Apr 1, 2027

US imposes new sanctions on China by...?

US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?

13%Yes · chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

Indicative prices

24h +2.5 pp

24h $313.2 Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?

Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?

8%Yes · chance

Yes 8¢No 92¢

Indicative prices

24h -6.5 pp

24h $311.4 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?

6.9%Yes · chance

Yes 6.9¢No 93.2¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.1 pp

24h $308.4 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2027?

25.5%Yes · chance

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

Which party will win white women in the midterms?

Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?

0.2%Yes · chance

Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢

Indicative prices

24h $303.6 Vol. · Ends Nov 7, 2026

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Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?

99%Yes · chance

Yes 99¢No 1.1¢

Indicative prices

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?

99.5%Yes · chance

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +15.5 pp

24h $248.6 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?

0.1%Yes · chance

Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢

VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 30%-35%?

94.5%Yes · chance

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +41 pp

24h $241.6 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 25%-30%?

0.7%Yes · chance

Yes 0.7¢

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election?

2.4%Yes · chance

Yes 2.4¢No 97.6¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.2 pp

24h $230.9 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 15%-20%?

60%Yes · chance

Yes 60¢

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

11.5%Yes · chance

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $223.2 Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

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Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

32.5%Yes · chance

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 30%-35%?

96.8%Yes · chance

Yes 96.8¢No 3.2¢

Indicative prices

24h +48.8 pp

24h $222.6 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 5%-15%?

2%Yes · chance

Yes 2¢

How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will KMT win?

Will the KMT win 12 Taiwanese head of local government races?

17%Yes · chance

Yes 17¢No 83¢

Indicative prices

24h +0.5 pp

24h $128 Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026

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Will the KMT win 11 Taiwanese head of local government races?

32.5%Yes · chance

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 25%-30%?

96%Yes · chance

Yes 96¢No 4¢

Indicative prices

24h +46.5 pp

24h $100 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 35%-40%?

2.6%Yes · chance

Yes 2.6¢

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Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?

US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?

Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2027?

Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?

Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?

Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?

Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 25%-30%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 15%-20%?

Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 5%-15%?

Will the KMT win 12 Taiwanese head of local government races?

Will the KMT win 11 Taiwanese head of local government races?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 25%-30%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 35%-40%?

Explore markets

Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?

US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?

Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2027?

Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?

Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?

Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?

Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 25%-30%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 15%-20%?

Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 5%-15%?

Will the KMT win 12 Taiwanese head of local government races?

Will the KMT win 11 Taiwanese head of local government races?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 25%-30%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 35%-40%?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30, 2027?

Will the Ohio Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 35%-40%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 10%-15%?

Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 25%-30%?

Will the KMT win 9 Taiwanese head of local government races?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 30%-35%?