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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3.3%Yes · chance24h -1.3 pp
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
2.3%Yes · chance
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
17%Yes · chance24h -15 pp
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
24%Yes · chance24h -14.5 pp
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
12.5%Yes · chance24h -3 pp
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?
41.5%Yes · chance24h +0.5 pp
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
56%Yes · chance24h -5 pp
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
4.5%Yes · chance24h -2.5 pp