Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
2.6%Yes · chance24h -14.9 pp
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Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
1.7%Yes · chance24h -1.2 pp
Chihuahua Governor Election Winner
Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?
63.5%Yes · chance24h +1.5 pp
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
24h -1 pp
Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
48.5%Yes · chance
24h +1 pp
Ilhan Omar arrested by...?
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?
11.5%Yes · chance24h +0.5 pp
IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 55% or more?
47.1%Yes · chance24h +8.8 pp
Piura Mayoral Election Winner
Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?
93.8%Yes · chance24h -3.7 pp
NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory
24h -5.4 pp
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
90.5%Yes · chanceElon Musk # tweets November 9 - November 11, 2026?
