Markets that matter to you

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-05 House election by 10%-15%?

74.5%Yes · chance

24h +15.5 pp

24h $28.7 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 20%-25%?

5%Yes · chance

24h -18 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-02 House election by 30%-35%?

76%Yes · chance

24h +27 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-01 House election?

2%Yes · chance

24h -15.7 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?

90.6%Yes · chance

24h $237.6 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 10%-15%?

64%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

24h $73.5 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by December 31?

6%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?

99.3%Yes · chance

24h +4.7 pp

24h $14.4 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?

99.1%Yes · chance

24h $323 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?

88%Yes · chance

24h +1.5 pp

24h $357.1 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 0%-5%?

0.3%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Republicans win older women in the midterms?

<0.1%Yes · chance

24h $78 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved