Markets that matter to you

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 5%-10%?

49.3%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

Awaiting result · still accepting orders, check the rules

Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?

24.5%Yes · chance

24h -1.2 pp

24h $0.3 Vol. · Ends Apr 17, 2027

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 0%-3%?

48%Yes · chance

24h -1.5 pp

Awaiting result · still accepting orders, check the rules

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 25%-30%?

44%Yes · chance

24h +0.5 pp

Awaiting result · still accepting orders, check the rules

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 10%-20%?

97.3%Yes · chance

Awaiting result · still accepting orders, check the rules

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 10%-15%?

59.5%Yes · chance

24h -6 pp

Awaiting result · still accepting orders, check the rules

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 80%-85%?

53.9%Yes · chance

24h -0.9 pp

Awaiting result · still accepting orders, check the rules

Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30?

97.3%Yes · chance

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Will Ron DeSantis win the South Carolina Republican primary?

41%Yes · chance

24h +6 pp

Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will Raphaël Glucksmann receive less than 7% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

34%Yes · chance

Ends Apr 18, 2027

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive 24% or more of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

38.5%Yes · chance

Ends Apr 18, 2027

Will Marine Le Pen receive between 37% and 40% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

40.5%Yes · chance

Ends Apr 18, 2027