Markets that matter to you

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Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

2.3%Yes · chance

Yes 2.3¢No 97.8¢

24h $100 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?

95.5%Yes · chance

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

24h $100 Vol. · Ends Jan 4, 2027

Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by...?

Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by March 31?

13%Yes · chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

24h +5 pp

24h $100 Vol. · Ends Apr 1, 2027

CA-48 House Election Margin of Victory

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-48 House election by 18%-21%?

62.8%Yes · chance

Yes 62.8¢No 37.2¢

24h +35.6 pp

24h $100 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 5% or more?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

24h -24.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 0%-5%?4.3%

View 1 more market in this event

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

10.5%Yes · chance

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

24h -0.5 pp

24h $99.7 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

14.5%Yes · chance

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

24h -0.5 pp

24h $93.7 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?

3.1%Yes · chance

Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢

24h $93.4 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem

Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?

98.3%Yes · chance

Yes 98.3¢No 1.8¢

Ends Jun 30, 2027

French Presidential Election First Round: Le Pen hits __% in any poll?

Will Marine Le Pen hit 38% in any poll before the first round of the French presidential election?

63%Yes · chance

Yes 63¢No 37¢

24h +0.5 pp

24h $60 Vol. · Ends Apr 17, 2027

Will Marine Le Pen hit 42% in any poll before the first round of the French presidential election?18%

View 1 more market in this event

PA-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%?

54.8%Yes · chance

Yes 54.8¢No 45.2¢

24h -4.8 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?

79.1%Yes · chance

Yes 79.1¢No 20.9¢

24h +7.4 pp

24h $24 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

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Markets that matter to you

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Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?

Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by March 31?

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-48 House election by 18%-21%?

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 5% or more?

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?

Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?

Will Marine Le Pen hit 38% in any poll before the first round of the French presidential election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?

Markets that matter to you

Explore markets

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?

Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by March 31?

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-48 House election by 18%-21%?

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 5% or more?

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?

Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?

Will Marine Le Pen hit 38% in any poll before the first round of the French presidential election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 25% or more?

Will Marine Le Pen hit 40% in any poll before the first round of the French presidential election?