Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
7.5%Yes · chance24h -1 pp
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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?
3.7%Yes · chance24h -0.9 pp
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
91.2%Yes · chance24h +2.7 pp
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
0.2%Yes · chanceWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2.1%Yes · chance24h -1.3 pp