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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?

93%Yes · chance

24h +1.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 9%-12%?

85%Yes · chance

24h -7 pp

24h $1.2 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?

49%Yes · chance

24h +23 pp

24h $1.1 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 10%-15%?

87%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 0%-5%?

83%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 65%-70%?

89%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,500,000 and 7,000,000?

40%Yes · chance

24h -1.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 0%-3%?

86%Yes · chance

24h -2.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 10%-20%?

97.3%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Vance's Republican nomination odds dip to 25% by December 31?

39%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Vox win the second-most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?

48%Yes · chance

24h +16 pp

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Will Marine Le Pen receive less than 28% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

No active quote right now · check the order book

Ends Apr 18, 2027