Markets that matter to you

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6% or more?

97.6%Yes · chance

24h $91 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%?

89%Yes · chance

24h +7 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 15%-20%?

78%Yes · chance

24h +12 pp

24h $90 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 9?

64%Yes · chance

24h -6 pp

24h $89.8 Vol. · Ends Nov 10, 2026

Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)

16%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?

59%Yes · chance

24h -2 pp

24h $88.6 Vol. · Ends Feb 10, 2027

Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?

92.3%Yes · chance

24h $20.2 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?

98.3%Yes · chance

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on November 13, 2026?

31%Yes · chance

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Nov 14, 2026

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 0%-5%?

88.9%Yes · chance

24h -1.2 pp

24h $5.1 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?

95.1%Yes · chance

24h -0.7 pp

24h $20 Vol. · Ends Nov 16, 2026

Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

98.1%Yes · chance

24h +0.8 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved