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2028 Presidential Election: Alaska Winner

Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election?

77%Yes · chance

Yes 77¢No 23¢

Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will the Democrats win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election?21%

2028 Presidential Election: Florida Winner

Will the Republicans win Florida in the 2028 Presidential Election?

77.5%Yes · chance

Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢

Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will the Democrats win Florida in the 2028 Presidential Election?23%

Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?

Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?

47%Yes · chance

Yes 47¢No 53¢

24h +2 pp

Ends Mar 1, 2027

Spain General Election: Palencia Winner

Will PP win the most seats in Palencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?

92%Yes · chance

Yes 92¢No 8¢

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Nov 30, 2026

2028 Presidential Election: Arizona Winner

Will the Democrats win Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election?

83%Yes · chance

Yes 83¢No 17¢

24h -1 pp

Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will the Republicans win Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election?27%

Quito Mayoral Election Winner

Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?

53%Yes · chance

Yes 53¢No 47¢

24h +4.5 pp

Ends Nov 30, 2026

2028 Presidential Election: Nevada Winner

Will the Democrats win Nevada in the 2028 Presidential Election?

80%Yes · chance

Yes 80¢No 20¢

Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will the Republicans win Nevada in the 2028 Presidential Election?21%

Portugal legislative snap election called by December 31, 2027?

34%Yes · chance

Yes 34¢No 66¢

24h +1.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

Will Aloizio Mercadante be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

15%Yes · chance

Yes 15¢No 85¢

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Mar 1, 2027

2028 Presidential Election: New Hampshire Winner

Will the Democrats win New Hampshire in the 2028 Presidential Election?

73%Yes · chance

Yes 73¢No 27¢

24h -4 pp

Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will the Republicans win New Hampshire in the 2028 Presidential Election?46%

2028 Presidential Election: North Carolina Winner

Will the Republicans win North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election?

47%Yes · chance

Yes 47¢No 53¢

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will the Democrats win North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election?27%

Haiti elections delayed again?

65%Yes · chance

Yes 65¢No 35¢

Ends Jul 19, 2027

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