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CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?

52%Yes · chance

Yes 52¢No 48¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 25%-30%?49.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 10%-15%?0.3%

VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 20%-25%?

65%Yes · chance

Yes 65¢No 35¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be 1,100,000 or more?

26.7%Yes · chance

Yes 26.7¢No 73.3¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?

70.7%Yes · chance

Yes 70.7¢No 29.3¢

Ends Feb 7, 2027

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

88.5%Yes · chance

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

24h +0.5 pp

24h $74.6 Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 45-54 years old?

51%Yes · chance

Yes 51¢No 49¢

24h -3.5 pp

Ends Aug 31, 2028

Spain General Election: Gipuzkoa Winner

Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Gipuzkoa in the 2026 Spanish general election?

93.5%Yes · chance

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

24h -0.5 pp

24h $72.7 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?

10.5%Yes · chance

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

24h -1 pp

24h $60 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 40%-45%?

91%Yes · chance

Yes 91¢No 9¢

24h -13.6 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

House Minority Leader of the next Congress?

Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?

77%Yes · chance

Yes 77¢No 23¢

24h +6.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 3%-6%?

94.5%Yes · chance

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

24h $3 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?

93.9%Yes · chance

Yes 93.9¢No 6.2¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

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