Markets that matter to you

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

2.6%Yes · chance

24h $67.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

79.3%Yes · chance

24h $65.7 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?

24h $64.3 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

3.3%Yes · chance

24h -0.9 pp

24h $64 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Otzma Yehudit support the new Israeli government in the vote of confidence?

24%Yes · chance

24h +18 pp

24h $63.1 Vol. · Ends Mar 1, 2027

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

5.5%Yes · chance

24h $62.6 Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Will ERC win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

40.8%Yes · chance

24h +1.8 pp

24h $50 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 0%-3%?

96.5%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000?

97%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?

3.9%Yes · chance

24h $31.4 Vol. · Ends Jan 4, 2027

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 25%-30%?

37%Yes · chance

24h -28.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,500,000 and 14,000,000?

83.4%Yes · chance

24h +8 pp

24h $6 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved