Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
5.1%Yes · chance24h +1.8 pp
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Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
32.5%Yes · chance24h -2 pp
Oaxaca Congress Election Winner
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?
88.5%Yes · chance24h -2.5 pp
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?
4.2%Yes · chanceHouse Majority Leader of the next Congress?
Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader?
96.5%Yes · chanceNew South Wales Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?
52%Yes · chance24h -2.5 pp
Spain General Election: ERC # of seats?
Will ERC win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
40.8%Yes · chance24h +1.7 pp
Senate Combo: Iowa, South Carolina, Alaska
CA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
24h -9 pp
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Querétaro Governor Election Winner
CO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?
98%Yes · chance24h +25 pp