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U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

10.5%Yes · chance

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

24h +2 pp

24h $50 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?

20.1%Yes · chance

Yes 20.1¢No 79.9¢

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31?

8%Yes · chance

Yes 8¢No 92¢

24h -3 pp

24h $50 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

NC-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 0%-3%?

95.8%Yes · chance

Yes 95.8¢No 4.2¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 20%-25%?

70%Yes · chance

Yes 70¢No 30¢

24h +8 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

KS-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 5%-10%?

28.6%Yes · chance

Yes 28.6¢No 71.4¢

24h +3.3 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 20%-25%?

93.8%Yes · chance

Yes 93.8¢No 6.2¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

CO-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 20%-25%?

82%Yes · chance

Yes 82¢No 18¢

24h +6 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 5%-10%?

97.3%Yes · chance

Yes 97.3¢No 2.7¢

24h $30.6 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 35%-40%?

17.8%Yes · chance

Yes 17.8¢No 82.2¢

24h -11.3 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 25%-30%?

95.5%Yes · chance

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 10%-15%?

94.7%Yes · chance

Yes 94.7¢No 5.4¢

24h -2.2 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

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