Markets that matter to you

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

8%Yes · chance

24h $46.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 5%-15%?

95.6%Yes · chance

24h +10.6 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 40%-45%?

2.6%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 10%-15%?

88%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

24h $45.5 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?

20.5%Yes · chance

24h -5 pp

24h $45 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 25%-30%?

88%Yes · chance

24h -5 pp

24h $45 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 0%-5%?

86.9%Yes · chance

24h +21.3 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice?

94.2%Yes · chance

24h $12.1 Vol. · Ends Jun 30, 2027

Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?

99.1%Yes · chance

24h -14.9 pp

24h $33.4 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 10%-20%?

95.3%Yes · chance

24h -6.4 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?

24.8%Yes · chance

24h $20.3 Vol. · Ends Apr 17, 2027

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?

67%Yes · chance

24h -11.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved