Markets

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?

11.5%Yes · chance

$98.4K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?

99.5%Yes · chance

$97.8K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

3.4%Yes · chance

$2.6M Vol. · Ends Oct 25, 2026

Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?

<0.1%Yes · chance

$78.9K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

7.5%Yes · chance

$2.1M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?

3.6%Yes · chance

$179K Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?

2.9%Yes · chance

$1.1M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?

43.5%Yes · chance

$20.6K Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

90.9%Yes · chance

$7.1M Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?

60.5%Yes · chance

$20.9K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

0.4%Yes · chance

$61.1K Vol. · Ends Oct 25, 2026

Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

52.6%Yes · chance

$185.9K Vol. · Ends Oct 25, 2026

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

0.2%Yes · chance

$1.8M Vol. · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

2.7%Yes · chance

$2.3M Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

0.4%Yes · chance

$958.7K Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2026