Markets that matter to you

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 10%-15%?

35%Yes · chance

24h +1.1 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?

66%Yes · chance

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 40%-45%?

77.4%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?

96.3%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?

66.5%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2030

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 10%-15%?

97.3%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will PDC win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?

37.5%Yes · chance

24h $40 Vol. · Ends Mar 1, 2027

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 25%-30%?

95.7%Yes · chance

24h $40 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-18 House election?

6%Yes · chance

24h -22.2 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 0%-3%?

93.9%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Andy Burnham say "Defence" during the next PMQ?

98%Yes · chance

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 5%-10%?

97.5%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved