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Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 9%-12%?

85%Yes · chance

Yes 85¢No 15¢

24h +0.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

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• Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 3% or more?5.4%
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 12%-15%?2.3%

South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%?

94.5%Yes · chance

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

24h +1 pp

24h $25 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

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• Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election?6.2%
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 0%-10%?0.3%

Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner

Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?

61.5%Yes · chance

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

24h +2 pp

24h $5.3 Vol. · Ends Jun 7, 2027

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• Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?32.5%
• Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?8%

Baja California Governor Election Winner

Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

63%Yes · chance

Yes 63¢No 37¢

24h +2.1 pp

Ends Jun 7, 2027

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• Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?10.7%
• Will Gustavo Macalpin win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?1.2%

Baja California Sur Governor Election Winner

Will Manuel Cota Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?

45.1%Yes · chance

Yes 45.1¢No 54.9¢

Ends Jun 7, 2027

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• Will Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?30%
• Will Christian Agúndez Gómez win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?5%

Campeche Governor Election Winner

Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?

72.5%Yes · chance

Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢

Ends Jun 7, 2027

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• Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?15.8%
• Will Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?1.2%

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner

Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?

62.5%Yes · chance

Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jun 7, 2027

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• Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?32.5%
• Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?4%

Colima Governor Election Winner

Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

77.5%Yes · chance

Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢

24h -1.5 pp

Ends Jun 7, 2027

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• Will Mario Delgado Carrillo win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?5.9%
• Will Riult Rivera Gutiérrez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?5.3%

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

62.9%Yes · chance

Yes 62.9¢No 37.1¢

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Jun 7, 2027

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• Will Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?12.4%
• Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?3.6%

Nayarit Governor Election Winner

Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?

81.6%Yes · chance

Yes 81.6¢No 18.4¢

Ends Jun 7, 2027

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• Will Luis Zamora Carrillo win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?16.6%
• Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?4.8%

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

36%Yes · chance

Yes 36¢No 64¢

24h -2.5 pp

Ends Jun 7, 2027

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• Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?28.6%
• Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?23.5%

Querétaro Governor Election Winner

Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?

56%Yes · chance

Yes 56¢No 44¢

24h +5 pp

24h $11 Vol. · Ends Jun 7, 2027

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• Will Santiago Nieto Castillo win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?4.4%
• Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?0.3%