Markets that matter to you

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

8%Yes · chance

24h -1 pp

24h $30 Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

15.5%Yes · chance

24h $30 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election?

68%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

24h $29.6 Vol. · Ends Jun 7, 2027

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 3%-6%?

80.4%Yes · chance

24h -1.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?

71.5%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

Ends Jun 7, 2027

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-05 House election by 10%-15%?

74.5%Yes · chance

24h +15.5 pp

24h $28.7 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?

72.5%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

24h $28.6 Vol. · Ends Jun 7, 2027

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 65%-70%?

86.6%Yes · chance

24h +0.7 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

EU dissolves before 2027?

1.5%Yes · chance

24h $27.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?

16%Yes · chance

24h -1.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 0%-3%?

60.4%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 50%-55%?

84%Yes · chance

24h +3 pp

24h $10 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved