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Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?

29.5%Yes · chance

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

24h -3 pp

24h $39.1K Vol. · $292.5K Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

39%Yes · chance

Yes 39¢No 61¢

24h +4 pp

24h $35.4K Vol. · $152K Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?

19.2%Yes · chance

Yes 19.2¢No 80.8¢

24h +10.1 pp

24h $25.7K Vol. · $31K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

87%Yes · chance

Yes 87¢No 13¢

24h +6 pp

24h $25.7K Vol. · $420.2K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?

92.7%Yes · chance

Yes 92.7¢No 7.3¢

24h +75.4 pp

24h $21.5K Vol. · $48.4K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

45%Yes · chance

Yes 45¢No 55¢

24h -6 pp

24h $19.9K Vol. · $64.2K Vol. · Ends Nov 8, 2026

Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?

8%Yes · chance

24h -72.5 pp

24h $13.5K Vol. · $59.5K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

0.5%Yes · chance

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

24h $13.3K Vol. · $28.8K Vol. · Ends Nov 8, 2026

Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?

41.5%Yes · chance

Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢

24h +11.5 pp

24h $11.8K Vol. · $15.7K Vol. · Ends Apr 1, 2027

Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

51.5%Yes · chance

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

24h +3 pp

24h $11.4K Vol. · $59.3K Vol. · Ends Nov 8, 2026

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?

5.5%Yes · chance

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

24h +1.1 pp

24h $6.9K Vol. · $7.7K Vol. · Ends Nov 7, 2026

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

11%Yes · chance

Yes 11¢No 89¢

24h -3 pp

24h $5.5K Vol. · $567.4K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?

0.2%Yes · chance

Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢

24h -0.6 pp

24h $5.3K Vol. · $9.8K Vol. · Ends Nov 7, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?

0.2%Yes · chance

Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢

24h $4.6K Vol. · $4.7K Vol. · Ends Nov 7, 2026

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?

47.5%Yes · chance

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

24h +7.5 pp

24h $4.2K Vol. · $8.6K Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

0.5%Yes · chance

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

24h -0.5 pp

24h $1.8K Vol. · $138.7K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

2.9%Yes · chance

Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢

24h $561.6 Vol. · $20.7K Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

14.5%Yes · chance

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

24h -0.5 pp

24h $402.2 Vol. · $95.5K Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?

1.7%Yes · chance

Yes 1.7¢No 98.4¢

24h $21.6 Vol. · $225.4K Vol. · Ends Oct 31, 2026

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