Markets that matter to you

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?

93.9%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%?

88.9%Yes · chance

24h +2.4 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

34.5%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

24h $188.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 23, 2028

Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?

52.5%Yes · chance

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

98%Yes · chance

24h +4.5 pp

Ends Aug 31, 2028

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

30%Yes · chance

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?

68.5%Yes · chance

24h +3 pp

24h $5.3K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?

10%Yes · chance

24h +0.9 pp

24h $1.1K Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

38%Yes · chance

24h -4 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?

99.5%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

97.4%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?

99.5%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved