Markets that matter to you

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

2.2%Yes · chance

24h $20.4 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?

87.1%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?

98%Yes · chance

24h +1.3 pp

24h $20.2 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 6%-9%?

62%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?

19%Yes · chance

24h +10.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% by June 30, 2027?

76.4%Yes · chance

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Will PP win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election?

96.8%Yes · chance

24h +1.3 pp

24h $20 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

Will the Democrats win Virginia in the 2028 Presidential Election?

86%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?

31%Yes · chance

24h -1.5 pp

Ends Mar 1, 2027

Will the Democrats win Nevada in the 2028 Presidential Election?

50%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

24h $20 Vol. · Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will the DPP win 7 Taiwanese head of local government races?

18%Yes · chance

24h -3.5 pp

24h $20 Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 11?

36%Yes · chance

24h $20 Vol. · Ends Nov 12, 2026