Markets that matter to you

US defaults on debt by 2027?

0.8%Yes · chance

24h -0.7 pp

24h $10 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Donald Trump visit West Virginia in 2026?

77%Yes · chance

24h +10.5 pp

Ends Jan 2, 2027

Will Russia enter Borova by December 31, 2026?

7.5%Yes · chance

24h -4.5 pp

24h $10 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?

98%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will PP win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election?

86%Yes · chance

24h +2 pp

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 0%-5%?

94.5%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?

16.5%Yes · chance

24h +0.5 pp

24h $9.1 Vol. · Ends Apr 1, 2027

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

3.6%Yes · chance

24h -2.4 pp

24h $9 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election by 5%-10%?

89%Yes · chance

24h +40.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

11%Yes · chance

24h -2 pp

24h $8.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

37%Yes · chance

24h -2 pp

Ends Jun 7, 2027

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 10%-15%?

94.9%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved