Markets that matter to you

Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?

99.5%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?

96.5%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election?

98.2%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?

97.3%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?

52%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 10%-15%?

85%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 20%-25%?

49%Yes · chance

24h +0.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%?

88.9%Yes · chance

24h +3.1 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 20%-25%?

85%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

30%Yes · chance

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

98%Yes · chance

24h +4 pp

Ends Aug 31, 2028

Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?

99.6%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved