Markets that matter to you

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

6.9%Yes · chance

24h -1.3 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

1.6%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

42.5%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Sep 24, 2028

Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?

5%Yes · chance

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

55%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?

86%Yes · chance

Ends Dec 23, 2027

Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?

77.5%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Dec 23, 2027

California Recall Election Reform Proposition

86%Yes · chance

24h -7 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?

50%Yes · chance

24h -2 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

97%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

27%Yes · chance

24h +5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

99.6%Yes · chance

24h +0.7 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved