Markets that matter to you

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%?

27%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 15%-20%?

94.6%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?

95%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

24h $3.8 Vol. · Ends Jan 6, 2027

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 5%-10%?

94.4%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

16%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

24h $3.5 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000?

89.5%Yes · chance

24h +0.5 pp

24h $3.5 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

82%Yes · chance

24h +8.5 pp

24h $3.4 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?

17.5%Yes · chance

24h -1 pp

24h $3.2 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election by 5%-15%?

96.2%Yes · chance

24h -2.4 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-45 House election by 20%-25%?

69%Yes · chance

24h +40.5 pp

24h $2.9 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Trump say "Keep America Great" in November?

97.5%Yes · chance

Ends Dec 1, 2026

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?

40.5%Yes · chance

24h +2.2 pp

24h $1.4 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved