Markets that matter to you

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 5%-10%?

77.5%Yes · chance

24h +1.4 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027?

78%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

24h $1.5 Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

38%Yes · chance

24h -3 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2028

DeSantis's Republican nomination odds dip to 3% by December 31?

10%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

24h $1.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will PP win the most seats in Valencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?

76.5%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

24h $1.3 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

1.6%Yes · chance

24h $1.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

22.5%Yes · chance

24h $1.3 Vol. · Ends Nov 8, 2028

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?

93%Yes · chance

24h +1.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?

49%Yes · chance

24h +17.5 pp

24h $1.1 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?

8%Yes · chance

24h +7 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,250,000 and 8,500,000?

96.9%Yes · chance

24h +12.3 pp

24h $1 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?

2.7%Yes · chance

24h $1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027