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Nawrocki out by December 31?

2.8%Yes · chance

Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

24h -1 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Mary Peltola charged by January 31?

5.8%Yes · chance

Yes 5.8¢No 94.3¢

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Feb 1, 2027

Dan J. Sullivan charged by January 31?

4.8%Yes · chance

Yes 4.8¢No 95.2¢

24h -1.3 pp

Ends Feb 1, 2027

Święczkowski charged by December 31?

54%Yes · chance

Yes 54¢No 46¢

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump?

20.5%Yes · chance

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?

Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?

47%Yes · chance

Yes 47¢No 53¢

24h +3.5 pp

Ends Mar 1, 2027

Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US not enter a recession by the end of 2027?

66%Yes · chance

Yes 66¢No 34¢

Ends Feb 1, 2028

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US enter a recession by the end of 2027?3.3%

Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?

Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?

31%Yes · chance

Yes 31¢No 69¢

24h +3.5 pp

Ends Mar 1, 2027

Next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

Will Aloizio Mercadante be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

15%Yes · chance

Yes 15¢No 85¢

Ends Mar 1, 2027

Haiti elections delayed again?

65%Yes · chance

Yes 65¢No 35¢

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jul 19, 2027

El Salvador ends Haiti deployment by...?

El Salvador ends Haiti deployment by December 31, 2026?

40%Yes · chance

Yes 40¢No 60¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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El Salvador ends Haiti deployment by March 31, 2027?

Yes —No —

No active quote right now · check the order book

Ends Apr 1, 2027

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Nawrocki out by December 31?

Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Mary Peltola charged by January 31?

Dan J. Sullivan charged by January 31?

Święczkowski charged by December 31?

Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump?

Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US not enter a recession by the end of 2027?

Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?

Will Aloizio Mercadante be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

Haiti elections delayed again?

El Salvador ends Haiti deployment by December 31, 2026?

El Salvador ends Haiti deployment by March 31, 2027?

Explore markets

Nawrocki out by December 31?

Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Mary Peltola charged by January 31?

Dan J. Sullivan charged by January 31?

Święczkowski charged by December 31?

Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump?

Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US not enter a recession by the end of 2027?

Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?

Will Aloizio Mercadante be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

Haiti elections delayed again?

El Salvador ends Haiti deployment by December 31, 2026?

El Salvador ends Haiti deployment by March 31, 2027?

El Salvador ends Haiti deployment by June 30, 2027?