Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?
50.5%Yes · chance24h +8 pp
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Largest source-reported 24h probability moves among active markets.
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?
95.5%Yes · chance24h +7.5 pp
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?
65.5%Yes · chance24h +7.5 pp
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?
98.3%Yes · chance24h +6.1 pp
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?
99.4%Yes · chance24h +3.4 pp
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?
42.5%Yes · chance24h +3 pp