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Largest source-reported 24h probability moves among active markets.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

43.8%Yes · chance

Yes 43.8¢No 56.3¢

24h +4.6 pp

24h $137.6K Vol. · $5.3M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?

10.5%Yes · chance

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

24h +2 pp

24h $228.4K Vol. · $896.7K Vol. · Ends Nov 16, 2026

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

22.5%Yes · chance

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

24h +1 pp

24h $168.7K Vol. · $1.4M Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026