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Largest source-reported 24h probability moves among active markets.

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

94.8%Yes · chance

Yes 94.8¢No 5.2¢

24h +7 pp

24h $1.5M Vol. · $3.6M Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

5.1%Yes · chance

Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢

24h -6.3 pp

24h $827.5K Vol. · $2.2M Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.5%Yes · chance

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

24h +1.4 pp

24h $813.8K Vol. · $9.8M Vol. · Ends Nov 8, 2028