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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?92%+0,8 pts

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?9%-1,1 pts

Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?8%+0,5 pts

Mary Peltola charged by January 31?6%-0,1 pts

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US government not take a stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by the end of 2027?86%-8,8 pts

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US government take a stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by the end of 2027?17%-1,8 pts

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?94%+1 pts

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Will Donald Trump publicly praise Elon Musk by November 30, 2026?90%-0,2 pts Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by November 30, 2026?27%-0,5 pts

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?88%-0,5 pts

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?13%+1,5 pts

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US not enter a recession by the end of 2027?69%+9,8 pts

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US enter a recession by the end of 2027?18%-1,7 pts

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 3%-6%?95%

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 9%-12%?5%-1,7 pts Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 3%-6%?2%+0,1 pts

Will Democrats win the Iowa, South Carolina, and Alaska Senate seats?96%

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Will Democrats win the Iowa and South Carolina Senate seats, and Republicans win Alaska?3%

Will Democrats win the Kansas, Ohio, and Iowa Governor races?93%

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Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor race, and Democrats win Ohio and Iowa?—

Will the loser of the Iowa Senate election concede by November 3?18%

El Salvador ends Haiti deployment by December 31, 2026?40%-1 pts

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El Salvador ends Haiti deployment by March 31, 2027?—El Salvador ends Haiti deployment by June 30, 2027?—

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