Will Tom Emmer be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?

This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Minority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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