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Will there be exactly 1 government shutdown by December 31, 2027?37%

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Will there be exactly 2 government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?32%Will there be 3 or more government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?Объём за 24 ч 500 $15%+0,5 pts

Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Объём за 24 ч 492,6 $76%-7,1 pts

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Will Luis Zamora Carrillo win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?7%+0,2 pts Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?5%-0,1 pts

Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?Объём за 24 ч 491,5 $13%-6 pts

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US government not take a stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by the end of 2027?Объём за 24 ч 489,9 $86%+5,7 pts

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US government take a stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by the end of 2027?17%+3,8 pts

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 30%-35%?Объём за 24 ч 489,6 $93%+45,5 pts

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 0%-5%?4%-1,6 pts Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 25%-30%?3%+0,3 pts

NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?Объём за 24 ч 488 $12%+7,6 pts

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive 24% or more of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Объём за 24 ч 485,1 $29%-2,5 pts

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 21% and 24% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?26%Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 12% and 15% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?10%-4 pts

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2027?15%-2 pts

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Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2027?Объём за 24 ч 96,4 $14%-2,5 pts Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Объём за 24 ч 398,8 $5%-0,8 pts

Next Israeli election called by December 31, 2027?64%-1 pts

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Next Israeli election called by March 31, 2027?Объём за 24 ч 368,1 $35%+18,5 pts Next Israeli election called by December 31, 2026?9%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 50%-55%?Объём за 24 ч 340,2 $85%-6,5 pts

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 45%-50%?Объём за 24 ч 150 $3%+40,5 pts Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?1%-1,8 pts

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 65% or more?Объём за 24 ч 60 $90%+17,5 pts

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Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 35%-40%?Объём за 24 ч 60 $10%-8 pts Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 45%-50%?Объём за 24 ч 60 $—

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?4%-0,3 pts

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