Will Mathieu Fournier win the 2026 Laurier—Sainte-Marie by-election?

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Laurier—Sainte-Marie is currently scheduled to be held on December 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Laurier—Sainte-Marie by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).

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